The Economics, Policy and Public Management Research Group is one of the smaller research centres within NBS with nine research active core members, although it works with an extensive network of associates, visiting scholars and collaborators both within NTU and in the wider academic and practitioner community. These associates contribute hugely to its outputs and to its influence in both academia and the public services.
The group is interested in public management issues across the whole public sector at international, national, regional and local scales. It includes specialist research interests in central and local government, in the healthcare sector, and in the emergency services. It has a long established interest in applied research and is known as a research exemplar for bridging the theory and practice divide.
The group embodies the University's commitment to providing research and scholarship with positive impact aligned with the University's social purpose. It produced one of the Business School's three impact case studies for the 2014 REF exercise and is currently developing three impact case studies for the next REF expected in 2020.
Work by the group has appeared in all of the key public management academic and practice journals such as Public Policy and Administration, Local Government Studies, Public Management Review, Public Money and Management, the International Journal of Public Administration and the International Journal of Emergency Services.
The purpose of the Economics, Policy and Public Management Research Group is to:
- provide a focus for the scholarly activities and a distinctive research identity for public management and governance research within Nottingham Business School.
- provide a catalyst for organisational, staff and curriculum development in public policy management and service delivery.
- generate interest and financial support for research and other scholarly activity in public policy and management.
- promote, disseminate and support the research of members, their collaborators and associates.
- facilitate the creation of public value and optimise the social impact and influence of the research and activities of its members.
- facilitate interdisciplinary collaborations, within Nottingham Business School, across Nottingham Trent University and in the wider academic community interested in the theory and practice of public management.
The Economics, Policy and Public Management Research Group has three areas of interest around which it is focusing its current activity. These are detailed below and are reflected on the research units section of this website.
- Central and Local Government
- Health and Social Care
- Emergency Services
Read the 2016 Public Policy and Management Research Group annual report.
Economics, Policy and Public Management Research Strands
The Economics, Policy and Public Management Research Group is divided into five sub-strands of research, each with a commitment to public impact. These are:
Applied Economics and Policy Analysis
Members of Applied Economics and Policy Analysis are based principally in the Department of Economics, although membership extends across NBS. The research under AEPA is split into three core subthemes, although a number of research projects are cross-cutting:
The research of the Micro group is wide-ranging, but with core interests around trade, FDI, and micro-level finance issues, including finance for firms in developing and emerging economies.
The Macro, Money and Finance group brings together researchers with a range of interests and expertise, from the classical political economy of schools of economic thought, to DSGE modelling, via stock markets, portfolio management and betting markets.
Those working on Energy and the Environment bring a range of interests and methods, from theoretical and quantitative environmental economics, to qualitative policy analysis. Topics of current projects include oil, gas and renewable energy sources, and sustainable mobility.
There is also a strong commitment to Research Informed Teaching, with many members drawing directly on their research activities in the classroom and supporting students who undertake research projects in these areas. Professor Rob Ackrill, a National Teaching Fellow, is involved internally and externally, for example with the Higher Education Academy, with activities based around research informed teaching and research methods.
Based in the Department of Economics, Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams is Director of two Research Units – the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit. These represent key policy-facing sources of economic analysis.
Betting Research Unit
The Betting Research Unit (BRU) is involved in the investigation and analysis of betting and gaming markets and issues. Formed in 1995 the Unit undertakes privately commissioned contracts and reports as well as research at the forefront of the international academic and industry literature, and is available for consultancy and media enquiries.
The Unit has acted widely in an advisory role to the betting and gaming industries, as well as more generally to the Government and commercial sectors, and has well-developed links with research institutions throughout the world.
The work of the BRU has attracted widespread attention from the media and has featured regularly on national and international television and radio, as well as in news outlets ranging from the Financial Times, Business Week and the Economist, to the Wall Street Journal, the Investors Chronicle and the Racing Post.
The Unit was central to the world's largest study of online gambling, involving nearly 11,000 players from 96 countries. More generally, research and consultancy reports produced by the Unit have played, and continue to play, a key role in influencing policymakers, regulators and operators worldwide, including HM Revenue and Customs / HM Customs and Excise, the Department for Culture, Media and Sport, the National Audit Office and the Gambling Commission.
Political Forecasting Unit
The Political Forecasting Unit analyses all areas of election and political forecasting. It undertakes privately commissioned contracts and reports and is available for consultancy and media enquiries. The unit employs state-of-the art forecasting techniques including:
- polling analysis
- betting and prediction market analysis
- expert judgements
- econometric and statistical modelling.
Techniques employed by the Unit were utilised by the Director of the Unit, Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams, to correctly call the winner of every state in the 2004, 2008 and 2012 US Presidential elections as well as numerous Congressional elections. Some of these forecasts were featured in the Economist magazine and on MSNBC and ABC News prior to polling. Professor Vaughan Williams also accurately predicted the winning majority in the 2005 British Election in the Economist magazine over two weeks before polling day, as well as on BBC Radio 4's Today programme and the BBC World Service.
The unit was consulted by the Economist again in October 2007 for a forecast of the likely outcome if a general election were to be called in the UK. Prof. Leighton Vaughan Williams has also acted as election analyst for Channel 4 News and called accurately the outcome of the 2010 British General Election as well as the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum. He also correctly forecast weeks in advance of the 2015 General Election, in the national and international print and broadcast media, that David Cameron would win the election and be returned to office as Conservative Party Prime Minister.
To provide the best possible analysis of available polling data, as well as the most accurate forecasts of election outcomes, Professor Vaughan Williams has developed a range of new methodologies, including the Polling Tracker, the Market Tracker and the ANS (Adjusted National Swing). The ANS is employed to produce estimates of how vote shares are likely to translate into seats and electoral votes. For an insight into the role of markets in forecasting election outcomes, see How to Forecast an Election (and How to Win One!).
Economic Strategy Research Bureau (ESRB)
Also located within the Department of Economics, The Economic Strategy Research Bureau (ESRB) offers a wide range of economic research, evaluation and strategic consultancy services to public, private and third sector clients.
The Bureau is uniquely placed to combine proven practitioner expertise with academic excellence - using the bureau model to make this capability accessible and affordable to a wide range of clients. The Bureau undertakes ad hoc research, evaluation and consultancy projects on an on-going basis. In addition, it offers a range of subscription based economic briefing products and analytical support – allowing clients to draw flexibly on specialist economic expertise as and when the need arises.
Particular areas of expertise include:
- Evidence based strategy or policy development
- Economic impact evaluation
- Scenario impact modelling
- Economic and labour market assessments
- Performance metrics or monitoring.
Public Policy and Management
The Public Policy and Management team works with an extensive network of associates, visiting scholars and collaborators, within NTU and in the wider academic and practitioner communities. These associates contribute hugely to its outputs and to its influence in both academia and the public services.
The team is interested in public management issues across the whole public sector at international, national, regional and local scales. It includes specialist research interests in central and local government, the healthcare sector, and the emergency services. It has a long established interest in applied research and is known as a research exemplar for bridging the theory-practice divide.
The team embodies the University's commitment to providing research and scholarship with positive impact aligned with the University's social purpose. It produced one of the Business School's three impact case studies for the 2014 REF exercise and is currently developing several impact case studies, for the next REF and the one after.
Work by the team has appeared in all of the key public management academic and practice journals such as Public Policy and Administration, Local Government Studies, Public Management Review, Public Money and Management, the International Journal of Public Administration and the International Journal of Emergency Services.
The Public Policy and Management Research Group works with an extensive network of associates, visiting scholars and collaborators both within NTU and in the wider academic and practitioner community. The following are some of our closest or most recent collaborators.
Internal to NBS
Economic Strategy Research Bureau (ESRB): Director Will Rossiter
Internal to NTU
Emergency Services Research Unit in Social Sciences (ESRU): Director Rowena Hill
External University Collaborators
- Assistant Professor Kirsten Greenhalgh of University of Nottingham Emergency Services Research Programme (contact Peter Murphy)
- Professor Paresh Wankheda of Edge Hill University (contact Pete Murphy)
- Professor Malcolm Prowle of Gloucestershire University (contact Don Harradine)
- Professor Ileana Steccolini of Newcastle University and the University of Bocconi Milan (contact Martin Jones)
- Professor Iris Saliterer Freiburg University (contact Martin Jones)
- Dr Enrico Guarini of University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan (contact Martin Jones)
- Carmela Barbera of Bocconi School of Management in Milan (contact Martin Jones)
- Professor Joyce Liddle of the University of Aix-Marseilles France (contact Pete Murphy)
- Associate Professor Laurence Ferry of Durham University (contact Pete Murphy)
- Professor Zoe Radnor of Leicester University (contact Russ Glennon)
- Professor Claire Hannibal of University of Wolverhampt on (contact Russ Glennon)
- Dr Nikola Bateman of Loughborough University (contact Russ Glennon)
- Dr Jo Meehan Liverpool (contact Russ Glennon)
External Practice Based Collaborators
- Centre for Public Scrutiny (contact Pete Murphy)
- Chartered Institute of Public Finance Accountants (contact Martin Jones)
- Chartered Institute of Management Accountants (contact Don Harradine)
- Association of Chartered Certified Accountants (contact Pete Murphy)
- Fire Sector Federation, Nottinghamshire FRS, Chief Fire Officers Association, European Union Chief Fire Officers Associations. (contact Pete Murphy)
Working with us
The group maintains close working relationships and associate members from the School of Social Sciences who regularly participate and contribute to the centres' activities. The centre also has a number of distinguished visiting professors and visiting fellows, from both academia and practice who are active and supportive of its projects. . They currently include:-
- Visiting Fellow Roger Latham, Past President of CIPFA
- Visiting Fellow Glynn Lowth, Past President of CIMA
- Visiting Professor David Buchanan
- Visiting Fellow Simone Jordan
- Visiting Fellow Dr Phil DaSilva
- Visiting Fellow Rebecca Larder
It is keen to include colleagues (distinguished and new) who are interested in the centre's scholarly activity either to enhance their teaching and learning or to promote and strengthen relations with practice as well as to participate in theoretical and applied research
Core members of the group
The core members of the Public Policy and Management aResearch Group are listed below. Their individual profiles together with their research interests and recent publications can be viewed by clicking on the individual links.
- Peter Murphy, Director of the Public Policy and Management Research Group
- Dr Donald Harradine, Director of the Health and Social Care Research Unit
- Dr Martin Jones, Head of Accounting and Finance and Director of the Central and Local Government Research Unit
- Dr Sarah Pass, Human Resource Management Division
- Dr Phil Considine, Strategic Management Division
- Dr Rupert Matthews, Marketing Division
- Dr Michael Hewitt, Economics Division
- Mr Will Rossiter, Economic Strategy Research Bureau
- Dr Russ Glennon, Strategic Management Division
- Dr Peter Eckersley, Department of Accounting and Finance
Murphy, P., Lakoma, K. and Glennon, R., 2018. Response to Fire and Rescue National Framework for England: Government consultation. Research report for external body.
Ackrill, R., Caven, V. and Alaktif, J. 2017. 'Black boxes' and 'fracture points': the regulation of gender equality in the UK and French construction industries. International Journal of Human Resource Management, 28, 2977-2996.
Glennon, R., Hodgkinson, I., Knowles, J., Radnor, Z. and Bateman, N., 2017. Public sector 'modernisation': examining the impact of a change agenda on local government employees in England. Australian Journal of Public Administration.
Huggins, R. and Thompson, P. (eds) 2017. Handbook of regions and competitiveness: contemporary theories and perspectives on economic development. Cheltenham
Jiang, B., Philp, B. and Wu, Z. 2017. Macro stress testing in the banking system of China. Journal of Banking Regulation,
Rossiter, W. and Smith, D.J. 2017. Institutions, place leadership and public entrepreneurship: reinterpreting the economic development of Nottingham. Local Economy, 32, 374-392.
Whysall, Z., Bowden, J. and Hewitt, M. 2017. Sickness Presenteeism: measurement and management challenges. Ergonomics.
Harradine D., Murphy, P., Valero-Silva, N. and Prowle, M., 2016. An examination of the reasons that result in Emergency Department attendances, in contrast to alternative care and diagnostic options, for a defined Millennials/Generation Y population in Nottingham. Research report for Nottingham City CCG. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Murphy, P., 2016. A briefing paper on the Governments Single Departmental Plans 2015-2020 prepared for the National Audit Office as part of the national study. Confidential report for NAO. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Murphy, P. 2016 Ambulance services - a submission to the National Audit Office from the Joint Universities Emergency Research Group. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Murphy, P. and Greenhalgh, K., 2016. Joint University Research Group response to the Scottish Government consultation: Fire and rescue framework for Scotland 2016. Edinburgh: The Scottish Government.
Murphy, P., Harradine, D. and Cope, R., 2016. Evaluation of Phase 2 of the early discharge project of the ‘ASSIST’ team at Mansfield District Council. Research report for Mansfield and Ashfield CCG. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Rossiter, W., Bickerton, C., Canavan, R., Lawton, C. and Murphy, P., 2016. NET Phase Two local economic evaluation: report 2: impact evaluation findings: final report. Research report for Tramlink. Nottingham: Tramlink Nottingham.
Ferry, L. and Murphy, P., 2015. Financial sustainability, accountability and transparency across local public service bodies in England under austerity. Report to National Audit Office (NAO).
Greenhalgh, K. and Murphy, P., 2015. Towards a strategic needs assessment for the service and the review of the IRMP: a report for the Nottinghamshire Fire and Rescue Service. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Jones, M. and Murphy, P., 2015. External validation of the Nottinghamshire County Council workforce mobilisation project. Research report for external body. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Murphy, P., 2015. Briefing note on 'Financial sustainability of fire and rescue services - value for money report' for the National Audit Office. London: National Audit Office.
Murphy, P., 2015. Briefing note on the 'Impact of funding reductions on fire and rescue services': Local Government report for the National Audit Office. London: National Audit Office.
Murphy, P. and Greenhalgh, K., 2015. The Joint Universities Research Programme response to Lyn Brown MP, Shadow Fire and Rescue Minister, on 'The future of the fire and rescue service in England'. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Murphy, P., and Greenhalgh, K., 2015. Joint University Research Group response to Home Office consultation: Enabling closer working between the emergency services. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.
Murphy, P. and Harradine, D., 2015. Evaluation of the early discharge project of the 'ASSIST' team at Mansfield District Council. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University
Barbera, C., Jones, M., and Steccolini, I., 2014 Governmental financial resilience under austerity: the case of English local authorities. Chartered Institute of Management Accountants. London
Prowle, M., and Harradine, D., 2014. Sustainable health care systems: An international study. ACCA.
Prowle, M., Harradine, D., Latham, R., Lowth, G., Murphy, P. and Orford, K., 2013. Importance of strategic financial leadership in the UK public sector, in a time of financial austerity: a research study. ACCA.
Murphy, P., and Greenhalgh, K., 2013. Response to Department of Communities and Local Government consultation: Operational Efficiencies Review led by Sir Ken Knight, April 2013.
Murphy, P. and Greenhalgh, K., 2013. The new National Framework for Fire and Rescue Services: Report to Nottinghamshire Fire and Rescue Service and the Chief Fire Officers Association.
Murphy, P., and Greenhalgh, K., 2013. Response to Department of Communities and Local Government consultation: revised protocol on government intervention action on fire and rescue authorities in England.